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These are the statements describing what students need to learn:

- understand and use mutually exclusive and independent events when calculating probabilities. Link to discrete and continuous distributions
- understand and use conditional probability, including the use of tree diagrams, Venn diagrams, two-way tables. Understand and use the conditional probability formula P(A|B)=P(A∩B)/P(B)
- modelling with probability, including critiquing assumptions made and the likely effect of more realistic assumptions

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